Showing posts with label Arsenal. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Arsenal. Show all posts

Tuesday, 16 September 2014

UEFA Champions League predictions

The UEFA Champions League returns this week, as Real Madrid aim to become the first team to retain the title in the Champions League era, and the first in the competition as a whole since AC Milan in 1990. Carlo Ancelotti's men will face competition from the usual suspects in the shape of Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Chelsea, PSG, and in the group stage they will face another potential contender in Liverpool, back in the competition for the first time in five years.

As well as the elite, there are teams simply happy to take their place in the tournament. Malmo are in the group stage for the first time, as they dream of emulating their 1979 side, who reached the European Cup final before losing to Nottingham Forest. The Bulgarian champions Ludogorets didn't even exist then, and their fairytale rise to Europe's top table was completed by a sensational play-off victory over Steaua Bucharest, where defender Cosmin Moti became their penalty-saving hero. Progression to the knockout stage from either club would represent a huge shock, but their participation can only be a good thing to appease those who believe the Champions League is a closed shop for anyone but the very biggest clubs.

Here is Behind The Goal's predictions of how the groups will finish. Admittedly, some are easier than others to predict, but while first place in the group is so important, no games can be taken lightly.

Group A:
1. Atletico Madrid
2. Juventus
3. Olympiakos
4. Malmo

Group B:
1. Real Madrid
2. Liverpool
3. FC Basel
4. Ludogorets

Group C:
1. Benfica
2. Bayer Leverkusen
3. Zenit St Petersburg
4. Monaco

Group D:
1. Arsenal
2. Borussia Dortmund
3. Galatasaray
4. Anderlecht

Group E:
1. Bayern Munich
2. Manchester City
3. AS Roma
4. CSKA Moscow

Group F:
1. Barcelona
2. Paris Saint-Germain
3. Ajax
4. Apoel Nicosia

Group G:
1. Chelsea
2. Schalke 04
3. Sporting
4. Maribor

Group H:
1. FC Porto
2. Athletic Bilbao
3. Shakhtar Donetsk
4. BATE Borisov


English clubs:
I expect all four Premier League teams to reach the round of 16 at the very least, although that could be where Liverpool and Manchester City find out the hard way just how important winning the group is. Facing a group winner in the first knockout round may be a step too far for Liverpool, whereas City may need a lucky draw. Arsenal are well placed to reach the quarter finals, but probably no further.

The last English team left will in my opinion be Chelsea. The semi finals is the very least I expect them to reach, maybe even further. Jose Mourinho's squad is twice that of Roberto Di Matteo's which won the European Cup in 2012, but as that season proved, anything can happen in cup football.

Dark horses:
This is surely the year that Juventus pose a bigger threat in the competition. Massimiliano Allegri's Serie A champions have flattered to decieve in Europe of late. Their group could have been a lot worse, and with perhaps a bit of luck in the draw, the bianconeri could reach the later stages. If - and it's a big if - Roma can get out of their group, maybe they could progress to the last eight, but in Manchester City and Bayern, their first hurdle couldn't have been more difficult.

Winners:
Last season I told friends I thought Real Madrid would win the title, and they did. This year I will tell all of you the same. My prediction is for Carlo Ancelotti's side to make Champions League history and retain the European Cup in Berlin in June.

Tuesday, 12 August 2014

Barclays Premier League Preview 2014-15 Part 1: The Title

The new Barclays Premier League season begins this weekend, and in this post I will take a look at the title contenders. 

Last season's title race was one of the most exciting for years. Liverpool looked like certainties to win their first championship for 24 years until their (well, Steven Gerrard's) late slip allowed Manchester City to take home the trophy, Manuel Pellegrini's first domestic title in a European league. Arsenal led the table for longer than anyone else, yet suffered damaging defeats to all of their title rivals. Chelsea beat both Manchester City and Liverpool home and away, but dropped points to so-called lesser opposition to end up only 3rd, and Manchester United suffered an unthinakble decline as their worst ever Premier League finish of 7th place followed. It's impossible to believe that the title will go anywhere else but to one of these five teams again, and here, I will look at their credentials.

Arsenal's Community Shield win this week over a suprisingly poor Man City side has given their supporters the right to believe that they can live with the big boys this time around. Last season's defeats against their fellow contenders weren't just notable for their frequency, but for their comprehensiveness. Chelsea, City and Liverpool scored a combined 17 goals against them in three infamous early kick-offs. Their challenge wasn't helped by a familiar problem, that of an injury list far too long for their liking. Aaron Ramsey's early season form could have brought more to the Emirates trophy cabinet than the FA Cup had he not missed almost the entire second half of the season. He, a fully fit Jack Wilshere and Mesut Ozil, as well as the big money addition of Alexis Sanchez may give them the sort of midfield dominance needed to get over the line, but once again, they may just fall agonisingly short over 38 games, especially if they don't ease the workload on Olivier Giroud with another forward signing. (Behind The Goal Prediction: 3rd)

Manchester City's title win should have come as no surprise given that on paper, they had the best squad, but even great groups take time to gel. Their poor away form in the first two months of the season could have cost them, but once they got going they didn't really look back. Their transfer activity has been relatively quiet, as their hands are tied by the Financial Fair Play regulation slapped on them by UEFA. Despite that, Pellegrini has brought in Fernando and Eliaquim Mangala both from Porto, as well as Willy Caballero, Bacary Sagna and surprisingly Frank Lampard for a bit of squad depth. Sergio Aguero and Edin Dzeko will continue to provide plenty of goals, and Stevan Jovetic will be like a new signing this year, after his debut campaign was blighted by injury and poor form. Holding on to Yaya Toure is a huge boost too, after the controversy surrounding what did or didn't happen around his birthday. Whoever finishes above them will probably win the title. (BTG Prediction: 2nd)

Manchester United and their fans expected a transitional season under David Moyes last year. But by Manchester United's standards, that still means a title challenge and maybe a Cup run. It certainly didn't mean 7th place and your Chosen One out of a job by April, but that's exactly what they got. In Louis van Gaal, they have the manager with the sort of credentials that warrants one of the biggest jobs in world football. Whereas Moyes looked delighted to be there in his opening press conference, van Gaal was telling United that they should be delighted to have him. Ander Herrera and Luke Shaw have been brought to Old Trafford, but they still look short defensively following the exits of Patrice Evra, Rio Ferdinand and captain Nemanja Vidic. At the other end of the pitch, van Gaal is the right man to inject new life into Robin van Persie, who captained his Netherlands side at the World Cup. If they can get themselves back into the Champions League, United's fans will be happy. 4th place would never have been considered success under Sir Alex Ferguson, but it will be after last year's debacle. The trouble is, they have very quickly fallen too far behind the top three to get any higher this year. (BTG Prediction: 4th)

Liverpool snatched Premier League defeat from the jaws of victory last season. Brendan Rodgers' side may have won 12 of their last 14 games, but that's no good when the other two cost you everything. The 2-0 Anfield reverse by a Chelsea team who found a way to win with resolute defending, canny counter attacking and that slip, was followed by the catastrophe that was the last quarter of an hour at Crystal Palace which led to a 3-3 draw. They let Manchester City in to take the title that looked Liverpool bound after their win against the Citizens in April. Even that 3-2 victory though illustrated the ultimate reason why it went wrong. Despite scoring for fun, they simply conceded too many sloppy goals at the other end. Dejan Lovren's arrival should help arrest that trend, but how on earth do they go about replacing Luis Suarez and his incredible haul of goals? The £75million will hopefully from their point of view be spent better than Tottenham's Gareth Bale money was, but the jury is out on whether Adam Lallana and Rickie Lambert can make the step up. Lazar Markovic should be good when fit, but Liverpool need another outlet in midfield, but if anyone can, Emre Can. Liverpool haven't turned into a bad side overnight, far from it, but despite being linked with a few, they remain a top-class striker away from getting as close as last season. even finishing in the top four should be considered progress.  (BTG Prediction: 5th)

Chelsea came only four points behind Man City last season even with the high number of dropped points against the likes of Sunderland and Norwich City. A new, improved Blues starting eleven should be far more comfortable of avoiding any such mistakes this time around. Ashley Cole and Frank Lampard have moved on, although the old guard is still represented in the form of John Terry and the returning Didier Drogba from Galatasaray. The Ivorian legend may not play as many games as he used to, but as any Chelsea fan will tell you, the higher the stakes, the more likely it is he'll score. Of course they also still have Fernando Torres, who gets more goals than people think, but the main man will no doubt be Diego Costa. The Brazilian-born Spaniard bagged 36 goals for Atletico Madrid last season, helping them to the La Liga title and very nearly the Champions League. Anywhere near that return and Chelsea will take some stopping. That's even before I mention the arrival of Cesc Fabregas. Arsenal didn't want him and Manchester United didn't think they needed him, but I bet they'll soon regret he's a Blue. The addition of Filipe Luis to what was already the league's best defence make Jose Mourinho's side my favourites. Like City, whoever finishes above them will win the title.  (BTG Prediction: 1st)

Who are your tips for the title? Tweet @adamgray50 or leave a comment.

Monday, 27 January 2014

TWIF 2.04: Mata signs, Januzaj dines, FA Cup round five.

This Week In Football Manchester United made the biggest move of the January window, as another Old Trafford star went out for dinner.

United start rebuilding, but they need more than Juan player.

Manchester United may be out of the title race in the Barclays Premier League, but the signing of Juan Mata from Chelsea has reminded the world that they aren't quite finished yet. It may have come too late in terms of their title defence, but the Spaniard's arrival may be the catalyst for a push up the table and into the top four. He alone won't win games for David Moyes, and there is no doubt that United are still four or five players short of a championship-winning squad, but this signing can definitely set the wheels in motion, whether in what is left of this January window, or in the summer. I don't buy Arsene Wenger's argument that Chelsea are trying to sabotage Arsenal and the other title contenders by selling Mata to a team who still have to play them all except Chelsea for a second time. After all, he has been quite happy to let the likes of Ashley Cole and Robin van Persie go in the past to rivals. Short memory as well as short sight, Arsene?

Januzaj's girl cries fowl over Nando's date.

Adnan Januzaj was in the news on Monday when it was revealed that he took a girl to Nando's on a date. No different from a lot of other 18-year-olds I would have thought, except Januzaj has probably got a bit more money than them. Not that money should matter. Call me old-fashioned, but the size of your wallet shouldn't be important. Melissa McKenzie, of Liverpool, obviously saw pound signs in her eyes when a Manchester United footballer came calling, but when she wasn't taken to the poshest restaurants and hotel, felt like she missed her chance to get into the VIP's circle. Shame on you darling, for trying to sleep your way into the papers, and as for a Scouser selling her story to The Sun, surely she knows what her city thinks of that particular publication.

Top four draw opens Cup up.

The current top four in the Premier League were drawn together in the 5th round of the FA Cup with Budweiser in Sunday's draw; Manchester City will welcome Chelsea to the Etihad Stadium, and Liverpool will travel to the Emirates to face Arsenal. From a neutral point of view, it's a shame that two of them will go out so early, but then again last year it did the competition, and particularly Wigan Athletic, no harm that a so-called lesser club's path to the final was made easier by the draw. It could be great news too for Wigan's former boss Roberto Martinez's current club Everton, who if they beat Swansea City in the 5th round, may suddenly think it could be their chance.

Tweet me with you opinions @adamgray50

Friday, 8 November 2013

TWIF 2.03: Plenty to shout about in north London

This Week In Football takes a look at how north London is coping with new expectation.

Are Arsenal the real deal?

Sunday will be a fantastic day for armchair fans of the Barclays Premier League, with Sky Sports showing three games back-to-back. Consider it your reward for sitting through the inevitable bore draw between Norwich and West Ham on Saturday Night Football. Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle begins the Super Sunday hat trick, followed by Manchester City's trip to Sunderland. But the big one is at Old Trafford, as Manchester United host leaders Arsenal in a must-win game for the home team. Defeat for David Moyes' side is not an option. They would fall 11 points behind the Gunners, and surely out of the title race. For Arsenal, it is the third game of what has been called a season-defining week. Many times before, we have seen previous Arsenal teams fail these sort of tests; the big boys would show them up for being the flat track bullies they perhaps were. But right now they are two-thirds of the way to proving that they could be here to stay, following wins at home to Liverpool last Saturday night, and best of all, their victory at Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League which proved how resillient they have become defensively. Despite their excellent start, there are many that are yet to be convinced about their credentials both at home and abroad, yet a win on Sunday would surely get everyone believing that their long trophy drought could end.

Tottenham could be, just be patient.

Across north London, Tottenham are continuing to make slow and steady progress. Thursday night's 2-1 win over Sheriff Tiraspol ensured their place in the Europa League round of 32, they are in the Capital One Cup quarter-finals, and are in the top four in the Premier League with the top flight's second best defensive record. Reason for optimism you would think, yet Andre Villas-Boas can't seem to win over the fans who think his team plays dull football. For me it doesn't matter. A 1-0 win is worth as much as any other, and don't forget that Spurs are still a work in progress when you think of how many new signings are still gelling together. The supporters who are frustrated at the lack of goals should remember that they are still picking up wins, and will only get better once the likes of Roberto Soldado, Christian Eriksen and Erik Lamela begin to hit form. Villas-Boas must believe that to win you have to concede fewer goals than the other team, not score more! All he should be criticised for this week is his decision not to substitute Hugo Lloris following his head injury at Everton. It was irresponsible to say the least, and he was lucky that Lloris had a relatively quiet end to the game.

Tuesday, 17 September 2013

TWIF 2.01: Shelvey stuns, Sturridge scores, Champions League returns

Welcome to a second season of This Week In Football.

A night to remember for Shelvey:
Monday night's game between Swansea City and Liverpool was a timely reminder that the Barclays Premier League can still provide us with exciting games, after what has been a tough start to the season from a neutral fan's perspective. One player who certainly won't forget it is Jonjo Shelvey. Before the game he spoke about facing his former club and the challenges that brings, but few would have thought that the task for Shelvey would be to remember for which team he was playing. To provide a goal and an assist for one team and two assists for another is enough to confuse even the greatest of players. To be fair, apart from the mistakes, Shelvey had a good night. He must have heard that Swansea were trying to sign him!

Goals galore for Sturridge:
Another topic from Monday Night Football was the form of Daniel Sturridge, who scored in his fourth successive Premier League game for Liverpool with a typical poacher's goal. When Luis Suarez was handed his ten-game suspension, I had doubts as to whether Sturridge could step up and be the talisman that Liverpool needed, but he's doing it, and Brendan Rodgers will have a dilemma once Suarez comes back over who to select, or how to accomodate both of them. It's just a shame that he didn't do it for England last week. Mind you, it's far more important to be fit for club commitments these days. Sigh.

Champions League returns:
The UEFA Champions League is back this week, and the group stage has brought a mixed bag for the Premier League's representatives. It will be interesting to see how, if at all, Sunday's upcoming Manchester derby affects the two sides' team selections this week. United (v Bayer Leverkusen) and City (at Viktoria Plzen) both have winnable games, so I expect a few changes from each side. Maybe it's finally an opportunity for Shinji Kagawa to remind David Moyes of his abilities, following his recent omissions from the side. Chelsea should find Wednesday night's game against FC Basel, indeed their whole group, fairly straightforward, but after last year, they can't afford to take it lightly. At the time of the draw, I worried for Arsenal that they could fail to qualify from the group, but right now confidence couldn't be higher. A win in Marseille sets them up perfectly, but with Borussia Dortmund and Napoli - whose game on Wednesday I'll be watching - also awaiting, it may be essential that the Gunners hit the ground running.

Monday, 14 January 2013

Two red cards and a priceless City win

Manchester City's trip to the Emirates Stadium to face Arsenal was a key test of their Barclays Premier League title credentials, and it was a game they couldn't afford to lose, given Manchester United's 2-1 win at home to Liverpool earlier in the afternoon. It was a test they passed with relative ease, running out comfortable 2-0 winners to reduce their deficit to seven points, but the key talking points of the afternoon came away from the result.

The game was changed significantly inside ten minutes with the sending off of Laurent Koscielny for his last-man foul on Edin Dzeko. While referee Mike Dean was criticised for the decision to issue a red card so early, the call was entirely correct, and for me a red card offence is the same in the 1st minute or the 91st. It wasn't Dean's fault that Koscielny was as silly as he was to commit the foul. Wojciech Szczesny produced an excellent save from Dzeko's ensuing kick to limit the punishment, but from that point Arsenal were facing damage limitation.

Speaking of correct decisions, Vincent Kompany was also right - in the letter of the law at least - to be sent off for his two footed lunge on Jack Wilshere. Kompany did play the ball, but the nature of his lunge, where both feet left the ground, and where he did make contact with Wilshere, did for me mean that Dean was right to issue his second red card of the afternoon. The problem lies in that he got the ball. Years ago it wouldn't have even been a foul, but the game has moved on. Maybe the law does protect players too much from what look like good, honest challenges, but at least it means that studs-up lunges half way up players' legs are slowly but surely being eradicated from the game. City have appealed against the decision, but in all honesty the red card is very likely to be upheld.

The travelling supporters from Manchester faced an expensive day, with the much-publicised cost of their Emirates ticket being £62. Everyone knows that City are amongst the richest clubs in the world, and of course they possess a championship-winning team worth the entrance fee alone, according to the cliche. But Arsenal - and other clubs, it must be said - have forgotten that doesn't mean that their fans are the richest, and for nearly 1000 fans, it was too much. No wonder Joleon Lescott was politley reminded to thank them after the game by none other than the assistant referee! The problem is this, however. For as long as there are fans willing to pay the hefty price, despite their protests, teams will think it's ok to charge it. Maybe more fans should vote with their feet, but football is too priceless for many to miss.

Wednesday, 31 October 2012

Capital One Raises Interest

The Capital One Cup has never been my favourite competition. It's a trophy to win and has a Wembley final yes, but in all honesty the best thing about it for fans of most clubs is when they're knocked out and they can save themselves for the league. Most teams will get nowhere near winning it, so managers can be forgiven for wondering what the point of trying is. I understand that football is a squad game and that players need to be rested, but at the same time I don't want to watch a reserve team competition. There has been the problem. It wouldn't have bothered me if the Football League scrapped it before this season, and I certainly didn't lose too much sleep when my club, Nottingham Forest, were knocked out in the 2nd round by Wigan Athletic.

How refreshing then, to see two teams scrap it out last night in one of the most remarkable games of football I have ever seen. In a brilliant advert for the League Cup with a 7-5 scoreline, Arsenal and Reading both deserve real praise for producing 120 minutes of pulsating viewing if not incredible quality at the Madejski Stadium. Yes, there may have been 20 changes from the starting XIs from the previous weekend, but despite neither team at full strength, we saw two teams who breathed new life into a tournament which is carving out a niche as the place to see attractive football played by the stars of tomorrow and turning its previous negative image into a positive selling point.

For the record, Reading led 4-0 after an abysmal defensive display from Arsenal for the goals, yet somehow I and many others felt that if the visitors could claw one back before half time, the game would still be on. We were right. In fact many Tweeted their delight at making a few quid off the bookies, who at that point had given up on Arsene Wenger's young Gunners. Theo Walcott set the ball rolling, before second half goals from Olivier Giroud, Laurent Koscielny and an added-time leveller from Walcott brought them back from the dead. Marouane Chamakh put Arsenal in front in extra time, before astonishingly Reading picked themselves off the floor to equalise again with five minutes left. Penalties then? Don't be stupid, there was still time for Chamakh and Walcott to net again to make it 7-5. Reading had just become the first team to ever score five goals and still lose an English Cup game.

Arsene Wenger may have stated that the Capital One Cup is fifth on Arsenal's list of priorities this season - he rates a top-four finish higher despite not winning a trophy since 2005 - and in all honesty, it is still probably fifth on a lot of the fans' list, but for a mad night down the M4, it meant everything. The same goes for the 5,000 Bradford fans at Wigan, who incredibly saw their League Two side reach the quarter-finals after a penalty shoot-out. I still won't pretend this cup means the world, even as a fan of a club with four of them in the cabinet, but we have made up and I am prepared to give it another chance.